Central African oil-output decline.
prob 0.34
severity 2.6 / 5 · revision 2026-05-05monitoring · 7 Central African economies · oil revenue$ shortage country get CAF > stress_index: 0.80 CRITICAL > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
The Central African Republic, one of the world's poorest and least developed states, imports all of its fuel overland through Cameroon, leaving supply acutely fragile. Years of civil conflict have shattered infrastructure and displaced much of the population, with electricity reaching only a tiny fraction of citizens.
The Central African Republic is relatively water-rich, drained by the Ubangi and its tributaries.
No major lake or reservoir
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is trucked in via Cameroon; supply is acutely fragile. | very low | 10days | CRITICAL |
| Electricity · minimal hydro and dieselPower reaches only a tiny share of the population. | fragile | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · commercial and aid stocksConflict and displacement leave much of the population food-insecure. | critically low | 30days | CRITICAL |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/CAF | jq '.stress' > 0.80