Gulf hydrocarbon export disruption.
prob 0.38
severity 4.0 / 5 · revision 2026-05-08watch · 10 Gulf and Red Sea economies · oil + LNG exports$ shortage country get BHR > stress_index: 0.40 STABLE > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $72.13/b ● TTF €44.25/MWh ● OPEC_ORB n/a SPR_US 331.2 Mb ▼ FAO_FFPI 130.8 ▼
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Bahrain is a small Gulf economy with modest oil output and a significant aluminium-smelting and refining sector. Its gas is consumed domestically. With virtually no agriculture and acute water scarcity, it imports nearly all of its food.
Bahrain's natural springs have dried, and it now depends almost entirely on desalination.
No major lake or reservoir
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude and products · domesticModest domestic crude and a refinery, partly fed by Saudi crude, cover the small market. | moderate | 30days | STABLE |
| Natural gas · domestic productionGas is consumed domestically for power and the aluminium industry. | balanced | 25days | WATCH |
| Food · strategic reserveWith negligible agriculture, Bahrain depends on imported food backed by a reserve. | moderate | 90days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/BHR | jq '.stress' > 0.40