East African foreign-exchange and fuel squeeze.
prob 0.46
severity 3.2 / 5 · revision 2026-05-06watch · 10 East African economies · fuel + FX + food$ shortage country get BDI > stress_index: 0.76 CRITICAL > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Burundi, one of the world's poorest countries, imports all of its fuel overland and suffers chronic shortages, with long queues a recurring feature. Landlocked and densely populated, it has minimal grid electrification. Recurrent food insecurity affects much of the population.
Burundi borders Lake Tanganyika and is relatively water-rich, though northern provinces face drought.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported overland; chronic shortages cause long queues. | very low | 10days | CRITICAL |
| Electricity · minimal hydroGrid electrification is among the lowest in the world. | fragile | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · commercial and aid stocksDense population and poverty leave much of the country food-insecure. | low | 35days | CRITICAL |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/BDI | jq '.stress' > 0.76