Southern African grid crisis.
prob 0.53
severity 3.8 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 10 Southern African economies · power + mining$ shortage country get AGO > stress_index: 0.55 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Angola is one of Africa's largest oil producers and depends overwhelmingly on crude exports, which dominate its economy and budget. Output from maturing offshore fields has declined, pressing the case for diversification. Despite fertile land, it imports a large share of its food.
Southern Angola has endured a severe multi-year drought, while the north stays water-rich.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude · production for exportOne of Africa's largest oil producers; output from maturing fields has declined. | ~1.1 mb/d output | 25days | WATCH |
| Natural gas · LNG exportAngola exports LNG alongside its crude. | moderate | — | STABLE |
| Grain · commercial stocksDespite fertile land, Angola imports a large share of its food. | limited | 45days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/AGO | jq '.stress' > 0.55