Central African oil-output decline.
prob 0.34
severity 2.6 / 5 · revision 2026-05-05monitoring · 7 Central African economies · oil revenue$ shortage country get GNQ > stress_index: 0.50 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Equatorial Guinea is a small oil and LNG exporter whose hydrocarbon wealth has not broadly reached its population. Output from maturing fields is in steep decline, pressing the case for diversification. With minimal agriculture it imports nearly all of its food.
Equatorial Guinea is water-rich, with high rainfall across its mainland and islands.
No major lake or reservoir
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude · production for exportOutput from maturing offshore fields is in steep decline. | declining | 30days | WATCH |
| Natural gas · LNG exportEquatorial Guinea exports LNG from its Bioko Island plant. | moderate | — | STABLE |
| Grain · commercial stocksWith minimal agriculture, the country imports nearly all of its food. | low | 40days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/GNQ | jq '.stress' > 0.50